EP12: The Gold Standard and Its Fall

There is a number that runs through two hundred years of British history, and almost nobody has heard of it.

Three pounds, seventeen shillings and tenpence halfpenny. The price of one standard ounce of gold.

It was set in 1717. It was still the price in 1925. In between, Britain built an empire, fought Napoleon, lit the Industrial Revolution and financed half the world. And the number did not move.

An accident, by the cleverest man in England

On 21 September 1717, Sir Isaac Newton, Master of the Royal Mint, sent a report to the Lords Commissioners of the Treasury. He was not designing a monetary system. He was solving a nuisance. Silver coin was being melted down and shipped to the East, and the Treasury wanted to know why so much gold was coming into the Mint and so much silver leaving the country. Newton's answer, in his own hand, was that gold was simply priced too high in England relative to silver, and that the remedy was "to take of about 10d. or 12d. from the Guinea". He put the question plainly: "Whether Gold shall be lowered by the Government or let alone till it falls of itself by the want of Silver Money." (World Gold Council, Key Documents in the History of Gold, from the original in the Public Record Office.)

The guinea was duly reduced to twenty one shillings, and the price of a standard ounce of gold settled at £3 17s 10½d. The Royal Mint Museum confirms the report "paved the way for a reduction in the value of the guinea to the familiar 21 shillings". The unintended consequence was that Britain drifted off silver and onto gold. Michael Bordo of Rutgers, writing for the Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, dates England's de facto gold standard to 1717 for exactly this reason.

Nobody voted for it. A physicist tried to stop coins being melted, and a country changed its money for two centuries.

The law catches up

It took ninety nine years for Parliament to admit what had happened. The Coinage Act of 1816 declared that "great Inconvenience has arisen from both these precious Metals being concurrently the Standard Measure of Value", and that gold coin "should henceforth be the sole Standard Measure of Value and legal Tender for Payment, without any Limitation of Amount". It established the Sovereign, and it confirmed the valuation of one standard ounce of gold at £3 17s 10½d. Newton's number, written into statute (Parliamentary Papers, House of Commons, 1816).

The system nobody designed

Here is the honest correction that most tellings skip. The international gold standard was not an ancient institution. It was a brief one.

Lawrence Officer of the University of Illinois at Chicago, writing for the Economic History Association, records that "the rush to the gold standard occurred in the 1870s, with the adherence of Germany, the Scandinavian countries, France, and other European countries". Germany came on in 1871, France in 1878, the United States in 1879, Japan and Russia in 1897. The United States only fixed it in law in 1900, in an Act declaring "the dollar consisting of twenty-five and eight-tenths grains of gold nine-tenths fine" to be the standard unit of value (Statutes at Large, 56th Congress).

Bordo dates the classical gold standard to 1880 to 1914. On the widest reading it is 1870 to 1914. Either way it is a generation, not an age. Roughly thirty four to forty four years in which the world's money was, briefly, the same thing everywhere.

It worked without a committee. Each country fixed its currency to a weight of gold and stood ready to convert. The exchange rates followed automatically: the dollar to sterling parity was $4.8665635, a figure nobody negotiated. Adjustment was equally mechanical. As Officer describes it, a country running a deficit "loses gold and its money supply decreases... Money income contracts and the price level falls, thereby increasing exports and decreasing imports".

What it delivered, and what it cost

The record is genuinely remarkable, and it must be given honestly, both halves.

Bordo's figures: inflation from 1880 to 1914 averaged 0.1 per cent a year. From 1946 to 2003 it averaged 4.1 per cent. A man could sign a thirty year contract and know what the money would mean at the end of it.

And the price of that stability was paid in the real economy. By Bordo's own measure the coefficient of variation for real output was 3.5 between 1879 and 1913, against 0.4 between 1946 and 2003. Prices held still and people did not. There was no lever to pull in a slump, because pulling it meant breaking the promise.

Somebody always pays. In America it was the farmers, watching debts grow heavier as prices fell. They called the Coinage Act of 1873 the Crime of 1873, and in July 1896 William Jennings Bryan told the Democratic convention: "You shall not press down upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns, you shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold" (Miller Center, University of Virginia). He lost. Gold won the argument. It would not hold the field for twenty years.

It did not fail. It was switched off

This is the point of the whole chapter, and it must be stated precisely.

The classical gold standard did not collapse under its own contradictions. Officer puts the cause bluntly: "The proximate cause of the breakdown of the classical gold standard was political: the advent of World War I in August 1914."

Britain declared war on Germany on 4 August 1914. On 6 August, Parliament passed the Currency and Bank Notes Act. It authorised the Treasury to issue paper notes for one pound and ten shillings, current "as fully as sovereigns and half-sovereigns are current". The World Gold Council's editorial note on the Act is unsparing: "By withdrawing gold from internal circulation, this Act effectively suspended the gold standard and in practice allowed for an inflationary expansion of the money supply enabling the Government to print notes to cover its obligations." Section 3 indemnified the Bank of England for issuing notes "in excess of any limit fixed by law" (Parliamentary Papers, House of Commons, 1914).

And here is the detail that tells you everything. Section 1(3) of that same Act says the holder of a currency note "shall be entitled to obtain on demand... payment for the note at its face value in gold coin".

The promise stayed printed on the paper. The gold quietly left the pocket. You cannot fight an industrial war on money you must redeem in metal, so the metal was withdrawn and the sentence was kept.

The restoration that was not one

On 28 April 1925, Winston Churchill announced Britain's return. "A return to an effective gold standard has long been the settled and declared policy of this country," he told the Commons. "No responsible authority has advocated any other policy... Now is the appointed time." The Bank would sell gold at the fixed price of £3 17s 10½d per standard ounce. Newton's number, one last time.

But read the next sentence. "Returning to the international gold standard does not mean that we are going to issue gold coinage. That is quite unnecessary... I must appeal to all classes in the public interest to continue to use notes." And the Bank's obligation to sell applied only to bullion "in amounts of not less than 400 fine ounces" (Hansard, House of Commons, 1925).

So an ordinary person could not redeem anything. The smallest quantity the Bank was obliged to hand over was a four hundred ounce bar. The name came back. The coin never did. This is why the interwar arrangement is a different animal from the pre war one, and the difference is not technical: it is the difference between a promise anyone can test and a promise only central banks can test.

Keynes said so at once, in The Economic Consequences of Mr Churchill, published that July. Sterling had gone back at its pre war parity when it was worth about ten per cent less, and so "whenever we sell anything abroad, either the foreign buyer has to pay 10 per cent more in his money or we have to accept 10 per cent less in our money". His warning on the mechanism was exact: "Deflation does not reduce wages 'automatically.' It reduces them by causing unemployment." Churchill, he judged, "was gravely misled by his experts" (Keynes, Essays in Persuasion).

He was right. Six years later the money ran. The Treasury press notice of 20 September 1931 records that "since the middle of July funds amounting to more than £200 million have been withdrawn from the London market", and announced that it had "become necessary to suspend for the time being the operation of Subsection (2) of Section 1 of the Gold Standard Act of 1925". Parliament passed the Bill on Monday 21 September 1931 (The National Archives). Officer's verdict on the whole interwar experiment: "a dismal failure in longevity, as well as in its association with the greatest depression the world has known."

The lesson in the ledger

Two centuries, one price. Then eleven years of war, restoration and collapse, and the price was gone.

Notice what actually happened at each turn. The metal did not change. Gold in 1931 was precisely what gold had been in 1717: the same weight, the same fineness, the same refusal to rust or multiply. What changed, every single time, was the willingness of a government to keep a promise it had written down.

The gold standard was never a constraint on gold. It was a constraint on governments. And that is why it ended.

At Chapman Gold we deal in the metal itself, weighed, hallmarked and priced honestly against the live gold price. Every fact above is drawn from the published sources linked in the text.